Internal Politics
- NLD leaders refuse to recognize the regime’s election or re-register the party
Some senior leaders of the National League for Democracy (NLD) and members of parliament have stated they will not recognize the upcoming military-led election or re-register the party to participate. Following the coup in February 2021, which saw the arrest of NLD leaders and the dissolution of the party, the regime announced that all political parties must re-register to participate in its planned election next year. On October 24, BBC Myanmar reported that the regime had discreetly offered the NLD an opportunity to re-register the party for registration, quoting an anonymous source. However, NLD member and parliamentarian U Bo Bo Oo, who was elected in 2015 and 2020, emphasized that re-registration under the current conditions is out of the question. He demanded that all political leaders and prisoners unjustly detained must be released first.
- NLD Minister U Win Khaing released from prison due to severe health condition
U Win Khaing, NLD Minister of Electricity and Energy, was released by the regime on October 28 while in intensive care at Mandalay Hospital. The 73-year-old, sentenced to 28 years in Mandalay’s Obo Prison, had been transferred to the hospital in early October due to severe health issues. He remains unconscious in the ICU, and the release order was read to him at the hospital, according to sources close to the situation. An anonymous source told RFA Burmese that the release order was read at the hospital, and that his condition was very serious. Since the coup, U Win Khaing has been imprisoned on charges of financial misconduct related to electricity projects.
- KIA gained control over key rare earth mining areas
The Kachin Independence Army (KIA) has taken control of the Chipwe and Panwa areas in Kachin State, areas rich in rare earth minerals essential for manufacturing electric vehicles (EVs), wind turbines, and smartphones. This territory was previously under the influence of militias led by military council loyalist Zahkun Ting Ying. However, most mining activities have been halted due to border closures imposed by the Chinese government. These rare earth resources, critical to the production of various electronic devices, are located near Chipwe on the Chinese border and are heavily concentrated in the Panwa region. Since the coup, Chinese businesses and military-aligned militias have extensively mined these areas. In early March 2024, the KIA intensified its efforts against the regime’ camps in Kachin State, seizing control of Panwa and subsequently launching successful offensives in Chipwe and Solo near the Chinese border on October 1. By October 18, the KIA had captured Panwa town. On October 29, KIA spokesperson Colonel Naw Bu stated that while the KIA currently controls the Panwa area, they have no immediate plans to resume rare earth mining activities.
- Kachin residents protest against Chinese support on the regime’s airstrikes
On October 29, residents of Hpakant in Kachin State staged a protest against the Chinese government and Airbus, criticizing their association with Chinese-owned aircraft companies allegedly aiding Myanmar’s military council in its airstrikes. Protesters called for an end to this support, demanding that these entities stop enabling the military council’s attacks. A protest leader told RFA that the demonstration took place among houses destroyed by recent airstrikes in Sai Taung village, Hpakant Township. Approximately 50 residents participated in the protest, with security provided by the Kachin People’s Defense Force (KPDF).
International Affairs
- Former intelligence leaders engaged in policy talks with Chinese think tanks
Days before the junta chief visited China, former top generals from the country’s notorious Military Intelligence (MI), including Brigadier General Thein Swe and former Colonel U Hla Min, arrived in China to meet with government policy advisors. Known for their history of harsh crackdowns on pro-democracy activists, these former MI officers have been meeting with advisors from the Beijing-based think tanks as representatives of Paragon Institute where Brigadier General Thein Swe serves as chairman and U Hla Min as special advisor. On October 29, Thein Swe and Hla Min, along with Paragon Institute Secretary U Pyae Phyo Maung, held discussions with the Chahar Institute and Taihe Institute, Chinese think tanks that play a role in shaping China’s foreign policy. During these discussions, Thein Swe reportedly provided updates on Myanmar’s current situation, including conditions involving ethnic armed groups in the northern regions, as disclosed by the Chahar Institute. Sources suggest that the meeting also touched on the recent Operation 1027 which has impacted the regime.
- New sanctions target companies supplying the regime with aviation fuel and technology
On October 29, the European Union (EU), United Kingdom, and Canada imposed coordinated sanctions on companies and individuals supporting the regime. These sanctions specifically target entities supplying aviation fuel, military technology, and financial support to the military. The UK’s Indo-Pacific Minister, Catherine West, emphasized that these measures aim to increase pressure on the regime, condemning its attacks on civilian areas and holding accountable the companies that enable such actions. Sanctioned entities include Asia Sun Group, Myan-Oil Company Limited, Swan Energy, Rich Ray Trading, Progress Technology Support (Royal Shune Lei Co.), and King Royal Technologies, which provide aviation fuel and military technology. Canada also sanctioned several companies, including King Royal Technologies, Swan Energy, and the International Group of Entrepreneurs (IGE), controlled by U Ne Aung, son of former minister U Aung Thaung. Additionally, individuals like U Win Kyaw Kyaw Aung from Shoon Energy, which imports jet fuel, and the regime’ Industry Minister Chari Than were sanctioned.
- EU imposed economic sanctions on Karen BGF leadership
The EU sanctioned Colonel Saw Chit Thu, head of the Karen Border Guard Force (BGF), Major Moat Thon, Colonel Saw Tin Win, and Saw Chit Thu’s Chit Linn Myaing Group (CLM). The CLM, operating near the Myanmar-Thailand border, is implicated in online fraud, drug trafficking, and human trafficking. According to the EU, these sanctions are intended to curb rising online fraud and criminal activity along Myanmar’s borders.
- UN special envoy met with junta chief and other actors during her trip
On October 30, it was reported that UN Special Representative for Myanmar, Julie Bishop, held a meeting with the coup leader Min Aung Hlaing, in Nay Pyi Taw. At a UN meeting on October 29, Bishop disclosed her meeting with the regime leader, and she emphasized the need for all involved in Myanmar’s conflict to commit to peace efforts, urging steps toward accountability and reconciliation to end the violence. Bishop underscored that progress requires a pathway for the United Nations and aid organizations to access the country, stating that reconciliation must come through all available means. Although she confirmed her meeting with General Min Aung Hlaing, Bishop did not disclose further details about the timing or specifics of their conversation. In addition to her discussions with the regime, Bishop met with members of the NLD and ethnic armed groups, including representatives from the National Unity Government (NUG). She stressed that sustained conflict will hinder progress toward meeting the needs of Myanmar’s people and called for a collaborative approach to move beyond the ongoing crisis.
- U Kyaw Moe Tun presented evidence of atrocity at Budalin at the UNGA
At the UN General Assembly’s Third Committee meeting on October 29, Myanmar’s Permanent Representative to the UN U Kyaw Moe Tun, presented graphic evidence of recent violence in Sagaing Region, including the killing and public display of bodies in Budalin Township. The ambassador detailed that recent incidents in Butalin Township reveal the military’s continued brutality, providing photos as evidence. Victims’ bodies were reportedly mutilated, with body parts, including heads, hung on fences around civilian homes. The ambassador emphasized that this horror is not an isolated incident but part of a broader pattern, with reports of civilians being burned alive in some cases. U Kyaw Moe Tun described other abuses by the regime, including airstrikes on civilian areas, village burnings, mass killings, arbitrary arrests, torture, and sexual violence. He added that forced recruitment and cross-border crimes are being committed without accountability, subjecting the Myanmar people to suffering on an unprecedented scale.
Business Matters
- China’s closure of border trades led to shortages in northern parts of Myanmar
China has closed several border trade gates with Myanmar, significantly restricting the flow of goods and resulting in shortages of fuel and essential supplies in Kachin State and northern areas of Shan State, which are controlled by ethnic revolutionary forces. This tightening of trade restrictions comes as the Chinese government pressures border-based ethnic armed groups to cease their offensives against the regime. The blockade began on July 9, following the nullification of the Haigan ceasefire agreement and the resumption of the second phase of Operation 1027. As of October 27, border crossings controlled by the United Wa State Army (UWSA), particularly in the Wa region and Laiza—home to the Kachin Independence Organization (KIO)—are heavily restricted. Sources from Myanmar Now in Yunnan Province report that out of at least 15 border gates available for trade, approximately half are closed, while the remaining gates have seen significant limitations on trade activities. These developments are further complicating the already dire humanitarian situation in the affected regions.
- UWSA warned against price gouging amid good shortage in northern Shan State
In Ho Pan, northern Shan State, the authorities of the UWSA issued a warning letter on October 25, threatening severe penalties for merchants selling goods at inflated prices within the region, particularly in the cities of Panlong and Namtik. This announcement coincided with a rising trend in prices following China’s restrictions on the importation of goods into the Wa region. The Wa authorities emphasized their commitment to ensuring that essential products are available to support the livelihoods of local residents. They are actively working to reduce trade restrictions and stabilize prices. The sale of food and consumer goods will be closely monitored, and any hoarding of products without sale will be scrutinized. The UWSA has declared that selling goods at inflated prices constitutes illegal business practices, and violators will face harsh penalties. Sources close to UWSA leaders indicated to RFA that these restrictions are part of China’s broader strategy to limit goods reaching areas controlled by the Kokang’s MNDAA.
- Yangon industrial zones faced electricity cuts, affecting operation and workers
Operators of industrial zones in Yangon told RFA that the regime’s authorities announced on October 31 that electricity supply will be limited to just four hours a day across all industrial zones. Previously, businesses were allowed to use electricity for eight hours, from 9 AM to 5 PM, but the new schedule restricts usage to only four hours, from 9 AM to 1 PM. An entrepreneur from South Dagon Industrial Zone, who wished to remain anonymous for security reasons, expressed frustration over the impact of these cuts on both employers and workers. He said that the electricity supply has been limited to just four hours a day, forcing the business to rely on generators for the rest of the time. Even though electricity bills have doubled or tripled, they can no longer ensure a consistent supply. This disruption is severely affecting operations, and workers are also feeling the impact. The company had to call in employees for overtime when power is available at night, which is challenging due to the high cost of diesel. The business owner further added that, even during the limited supply hours, the electricity often goes out unexpectedly, further complicating operations.
Humanitarian Affairs
- Karenni State called for urgent humanitarian aid for displaced people and flood victims
On October 28, the Interim Administrative Council (IEC) of Karenni State called for provision of humanitarian aid and support for rehabilitation efforts for those affected by the conflict and recent flooding. According to the IEC, around 150,000 people require food assistance, and nearly 2,000 households impacted by natural disasters need help with basic household items and rebuilding their homes. The IEC, in collaboration with local civil society organizations, has provided some relief for communities affected by Typhoon Yagi, but needs remain substantial. The IEC also stated that the regime restricts humanitarian assistance to those impacted by the conflict and disasters. Since September 9, flooding and landslides in Karenni areas, including Hpekon, Loikaw, Nan Mae Khon, Demoso, Shataw, Mae Se, have affected 16 IDP camps and 54 villages.
- Thousands displaced in Mattaya due to the regime’s ground raids and air attacks
Residents of Mattya Township in Mandalay Region told RFA that on October 27 that approximately 5,000 locals have fled their homes due to ongoing military operations, including ground raids and airstrikes by the military council. On October 26, a military column comprising about 50 soldiers left Mattaya city and conducted raids in nearby villages, including Waw Su, Ton Gone, Mayan Gone, Ywar Thit, and Htein Pin Kauk. One resident, speaking on the condition of anonymity for safety reasons, recounted that three civilians were injured by gunfire during these operations using jet fighters and Mi-35 helicopters. Currently, a regime’s unit is stationed in Ywar Thit, where local residents reported that the village was set on fire for three hours on October 26, escalating fears in the area.
- Concerns raised over UWSA’s recruitment in Tanyang Township
Residents of Tanyang Township in northern Shan State have expressed growing concern over recruitment efforts and administrative activities by the United Wa State Army (UWSA). Since early July 2024, UWSA forces have established a presence in Tang Yang, where the regime’s forces were previously stationed, and have begun setting up their administrative structures. Local men in their 20s report that since the end of September, a group led by UWSA officers has been conducting door-to-door recruitment for military service, utilizing a lottery system to select conscripts. However, families of those conscripted are worried that their loved ones may not return home after completing their training, fearing the potential for extended service.
Attacks on the Junta’s Lackeys & Assets
- NUG announced 61 regime soldiers joined CDM in Chin State
The National Unity Government’s Ministry of Defense announced on October 31 that 61 regime soldiers, including two majors, defected to the Civil Disobedience Movement (CDM) in Paletwa Township, Chin State. These soldiers, connected to the NUG via the Paletwa Chin Defense Force (CDF) and the Yaw Defense Force (YDF), have been part of the movement since last January. In a video released by the NUG, former military officers explained their decision to join the CDM, citing disillusionment with the coup, witnessing civilians being targeted, and experiencing repressive conditions within the army. The timing of the announcement is also linked to recent escalations, as the Arakan Army (AA) fights to capture the Western Regional Command.
- Dawei PDf reported eight deaths in drone attack on census activities in Tanintharyi Region
The Dawei Township People’s Defense Force (PDF) announced on October 31 that eight regime personnel were killed in a drone attack while providing security for census workers in Tanintharyi Township. A PDF member involved in the operation in Thayetchaung Township confirmed that regime soldiers were targeted and killed in the strikes. The statement noted that on October 15 and 16, drone strikes were conducted in Yangtaung and Thin Kyun villages to disrupt census operations supported by regime forces.
Arbitrary Arrests, Killings & Violence
- Charity members involved in NLD minister arrested in Mandalay
The regime arrested eight members of a local charity association in Mandalay on the night of October 26. The arrests occurred after the association helped transport the body of former Mandalay Chief Minister Dr. Zaw Myint Maung to the cemetery, who had died of leukemia at Mandalay General Hospital. The charity group, including its chairman U Khin Maung Thint, is believed to have been targeted for its involvement in the funeral arrangements. Family members have been unable to contact those detained.
- Hindu Man in Yangon Arrested for Criticizing Film
U Shine Htet Aung, a 30-year-old Hindu man from Yangon’s Hlaing Township, was arrested by the regime after criticizing a Myanmar movie poster and title he claimed oppressed people of South Asian origin. He posted his views about the film on Facebook before he went missing on October 27, The junta later confirmed his arrest at Hlaing Township Police Station, charging him with incitement. His family learned of his detention through a newspaper, as they had been unable to locate him.
- Regime’s troops raided refugee camp in Magway, killing two and detaining civilians
On October 28, Magwe Region, a combined force of 100 regime troops and Pyu Saw Htee militia raided a refugee camp near Deedokekwin Village in Pauk Township. According to locals, the raid, which began around 5:00 am, led to the arrest of 18 people, including a monk. During the attack, two villagers, U Than Sein and U Htay Aung—both over 50—were shot dead. U Than Sein died instantly, while U Htay Aung was initially shot in the thigh and then fatally shot again, as reported by witnesses.
- 66-year-old political prisoner died in custody in Mandalay Region
On October 28, U Win Tin Lay, a 66-year-old political prisoner in Nyaung-U Prison, Mandalay Region, passed away due to deteriorating health while being transported to Mandalay Hospital, family members reported. Initially held in Nyaung-U Prison, his condition worsened, prompting a transfer to Nyaung-U Hospital before the final move. U Win Tin Lay, from Kyaukpadaung Township, was arrested after authorities suspected his son’s involvement with the People’s Defense Force (PDF). In May 2022, he was sentenced to five years under Section 52(a) of the Counter-Terrorism Act.
- Regime conducted airstrike on TNLA-controlled Kutkai, Shan State (north)
On November 1, regime aircraft bombed Kut Khaing town, controlled by the Ta’ang National Liberation Army (TNLA), in Northern Shan State, three times, killing one man, according to local residents. The TNLA confirmed the attack, stating that two warplanes launched a dawn assault, dropping eight bombs across five locations. One unexploded bomb was also reported. The bombings damaged several facilities, including a drug office near the Asia World Gate, a COVID-19 center, a fire station, the Customs Department office in Ward No. 2, and the EPC office.
Armed Resistance
- Chin resistance forces captured regime soliders in Hakha attack
Chin resistance forces reported capturing four regime soldiers, including a major, during an October 28 attack on a military camp near Hakha, Chin State. The operation, led by the Chin National Army (CNA) and Chin Regional Defense Team – Hakha (CDF Hakha), targeted a camp on Kiamtlang Mountain between Hakha and Thantlang at around 7:30 am, ending within 30 minutes. The clash left ten regime soldiers dead, one escaped, and the resistance seized nine guns, ammunition, and mines. However, one member of the Chin forces was killed. The following morning, on October 29, regime troops launched a counterattack with reinforcements, prompting the Chin resistance forces to retreat.
- Regime launched offensive to retake Momauk from KIA in Kachin State
In Kachin State, the regime has launched a renewed offensive to recapture Momauk Town from the Kachin Independence Army (KIA), with forces positioned in Banmaw nearby. Intense fighting has erupted between the two towns, particularly near Banmaw’s entrance, where regime armored vehicles have been mobilized. Momauk, just a 10-mile, half-hour drive east of Banmaw, has strategic importance, sharing a 60-mile border with China’s Yunnan Province and housing around ten thousand residents. The KIA, alongside Kachin People’s Defense Forces (KPDF), took control of a regime battalion unit two miles west of Momauk on August 19 after a prolonged assault. Since losing control of the area, the regime has been actively attempting to retake Momauk, with efforts intensifying since August 24.
- KNU & co captured strategic regime camp in Papun tsp, Karen State
On the morning of October 31, Karen National Union (KNU) forces, alongside joint resistance allies, seized a key regime camp in Khawpote village, northern Karen State’s Papun Township. This camp, located northeast of Papun, had been encircled by the 5th KNU Brigade and allied forces for approximately four months before the offensive began on October 24. The regime forces eventually withdrew, abandoning the camp, which had served as a protective outpost for the Papun Township base and nearby battalions. According to a 5th Brigade spokesperson, the camp was vital for supporting regime military positions along the Salween River and for enforcing border security in Papun. Details regarding any injuries or recovered weapons have not yet been reported.
- AA intensified efforts to capture western military headquarters in Rakhine State
In Rakhine State, the Arakan Army (AA) has intensified its offensive on the Western Regional Military Headquarters in Ann Township, with regime forces mounting an aerial counterattack. The AA has reportedly captured at least five military bases within Ann, gaining control of the old part of the city. However, heavy fighting persists around the airstrip near the old city. Locals report that the AA is also targeting the 374th Artillery Division, a military ordnance depot, and regime troops stationed near the airstrip. A resident explained that Ann, surrounded by hills, is strategically advantageous for the AA, which has effectively encircled the headquarters from all sides to facilitate its capture.
Sources: Myanmar Now, RFA Burmese, Khit Thit Media, Mizzima News